Ma is felhőszakadást okozó zivatarok keleten, délen besodródhat egy-egy szupercella
kaLman, 2014, május 27 - 07:56Ma is zivatarok lokális felhőszakadással, akár 2 cm körüli jégszemekkel, délután, este MKR
kaLman, 2014, május 26 - 07:10Összefoglalás:
Category 1 is issued today because there is a chance of thunderstorms producing excessive rainfalls (or flash-floods) in some places of Hungary. Moreover, some thunderstorms might produce marginally hail with diameter around 2 cm and windgusts exceeding 90 km/h locally, and we cannot exclude the formation of non-mesocyclonic funnel clouds, perhaps a tornado. In the afternoon, the thunderstorms may organize themselves into a mesoscale convective system (MCS) which may persist during the night.
Felhőszakadás, néhol jéggel esetleg nem mezociklonális tubával
Derick, 2014, május 25 - 09:02Makroszinoptikai áttekintés:
Summary:
Category 1 was issued primarily for excessive precipitation (loc. > 50 mm) and possibly flash flood, secondary for hail (diam. ~1-2 cm) besides an isolated non-mesocyclonic funnel cloud or tornadoe is not ruled out. Western Europe’s weather is determined by a wide trough and an accompanying elongated weakening frontalzone from south to north. Ahead of this waving front relatively wet and unstable airmass is persisted over Balkan peninsula and Central-Europe. However in wake of a weak cold front sligthly drier and more stable air is streaming over west part of our country mainly in the morning hours. Considerable wind shear is not presented today therefore mainly monocellular or possibly slight-organised multicellular convection is expected along low level convergence zones due to diurnal heating as we could see also yesterday.
Veszteglő front, esetleg MKR-el, villámárvízzel
Neofita, 2014, május 24 - 08:48Összegzés:
We issue Category 1 because we expect a formation of mesoscale convective system (MCS) which can cause extensive heavy rainfall (>50 mm/3h) and/or flash floods due to orography.
Északon villámárvíz, valamint több helyen nem-mezociklonális forgószelek lehetősége
Neofita, 2014, május 17 - 08:58
Összefoglalás:
We issue Category 1 because we expect multicellular thunderstorms and the propagation of cells in these clusters compensates their slow motion (driven by the mean wind) in such a way that they reach their own mature stage above the very same area exposing it to flash-flood hazard. Furthermore permanent convergence with large horizontal wind shear along creates widely favourable conditions for non-mesocyclonic funnel clouds, possibly tornados, too.
Lassan mozgó, gyengülő ciklon
gbond, 2014, május 16 - 09:35Valid: 2014.05.16 06:00 UTC - 2014.05.17 06:00 UTC
Érvényes: 2014.05.16 06:00 UTC - 2014.05.17 06:00 UTC
Summary
The weather will be mainly influenced by a weakening cyclone this day. A moderately unstable airmass will be advected over the northern part of the country, that allows thunderstorm development. The main threats are the non-mesocyclonic funnel cloud/tornado and heavy rain/flash flood with low probability.
Keleten lehetséges felhőszakadások, északkeleten esetleg szupercella
Anarki, 2014, május 14 - 23:13Érvényes: 2014.05.16. 08:00-ig
Holnap északkeleten esetleges miniszupercellák, valamint nem-mezós tornádó - szokatlan körülmények között
kaLman, 2014, május 13 - 21:43Összefoglalás:
Summary:
We have issued Category 0 for tomorrow because there is a chance that minisupercells form tomorrow afternoon in the northeastern part of Hungary. These cells, however, will not likely produce severe events. Moreover, along a convergence we cannot exclude the development of small non-mesocyclonic tornados or funnel clouds. However, the outcome of the situation is very doubtful due to several unusual conditions.
Hidegfront, szupercellák, majd esetleges MKR
gbond, 2014, május 11 - 09:07Valid: 2014.05.11 06:00 UTC - 2014.05.12 06:00 UTC
Érvényes: 2014.05.11 06:00 UTC - 2014.05.12 06:00 UTC
Summary
Fokozott villámárvíz-esély, itt-ott heves jégeső és esetleges tornádó
Storman, 2014, május 3 - 03:46Szinoptikus helyzet, áttekintés